A confidence interval for a mean is a range of values that is likely to contain a population mean with a certain level of confidence.
We use the following formula to calculate a confidence interval for a mean:
Confidence Interval = x +/- t*(s/√n)
where:
- x: sample mean
- t: the t critical value
- s: sample standard deviation
- n: sample size
Note: We replace a t critical value with a z critical value in the formula if the population standard deviation (σ) is known and the sample size is greater than 30.
The following examples show how to construct a confidence interval for a mean in three different scenarios:
- Population standard deviation (σ) is unknown
- Population standard deviation (σ) is known but n ≤ 30
- Population standard deviation (σ) is known and n > 30
Let’s jump in!
Example 1: Confidence Interval when σ is Unknown
Suppose we would like to calculate a 95% confidence interval for the mean height (in inches) of a certain species of plant.
Suppose we collect a simple random sample with the following information:
- sample mean (x)= 12
- sample size (n) = 19
- sample standard deviation (s) = 6.3
We can use the following formula to construct this confidence interval:
- 95% C.I. = x +/- t*(s/√n)
- 95% C.I. = 12 +/- tn-1, α/2*(6.3/√19)
- 95% C.I. = 12 +/- t18, .025*(6.3/√19)
- 95% C.I. = 12 +/- 2.1009*(6.3/√19)
- 95% C.I. = (8.964 , 15.037)
The 95% confidence interval for the population mean height for this particular species of plant is (8.964 inches, 15.037 inches).
Note #1: We used the Inverse t Distribution Calculator to find the t critical value associated with 18 degrees of freedom and a confidence level of 0.95.
Note #2: Since the population standard deviation (σ) was unknown, we used the t critical value when calculating the confidence interval.
Example 2: Confidence Interval when σ is Known but n ≤ 30
Suppose we would like to calculate a 99% confidence interval for the mean exam score on a certain college entrance exam.
Suppose we collect a simple random sample with the following information:
- sample mean (x)= 85
- sample size (n) = 25
- population standard deviation (σ) = 3.5
We can use the following formula to construct this confidence interval:
- 99% C.I. = x +/- t*(s/√n)
- 99% C.I. = 85 +/- tn-1, α/2*(3.5/√25)
- 99% C.I. = 85 +/- t24, .005*(3.5/√25)
- 99% C.I. = 85 +/- 2.7969*(3.5/√25)
- 99% C.I. = (83.042, 86.958)
The 99% confidence interval for the population mean exam score on this particular college entrance exam is (83.042, 86.958).
Note #1: We used the Inverse t Distribution Calculator to find the t critical value associated with 24 degrees of freedom and a confidence level of 0.99.
Note #2: Since the population standard deviation (σ) was known but the sample size (n) was less than 30, we used the t critical value when calculating the confidence interval.
Example 3: Confidence Interval when σ is Known and n > 30
Suppose we would like to calculate a 90% confidence interval for the mean weight of a certain species of turtle.
Suppose we collect a simple random sample with the following information:
- sample mean (x)= 300
- sample size (n) = 40
- population standard deviation (σ) = 15
We can use the following formula to construct this confidence interval:
- 90% C.I. = x +/- z*(σ/√n)
- 90% C.I. = 300 +/- 1.645*(15/√40)
- 90% C.I. = (296.099, 303.901)
The 90% confidence interval for the population mean weight of this particular species of turtle is (83.042, 86.958).
Note #1: We used the Critical Z Value Calculator to find the z critical value associated with a significance level of 0.1.
Note #2: Since the population standard deviation (σ) was known and the sample size (n) was greater than 30, we used the z critical value when calculating the confidence interval.
Additional Resources
The following tutorials provide additional information about confidence intervals:
4 Examples of Confidence Intervals in Real Life
How to Write a Confidence Interval Conclusion
The 6 Confidence Interval Assumptions to Check